This paper describes a multiple competing technologies market penetration model which incorporates multiple attributes rather than strictly price into the market share allocation function. The model which is linear and deterministic was developed in response to the sponsor's request for a...

Two major contributions are made to the problem of resource allocation to indivisible projects with uncertain outcomes: the concepts of preferential independence and utility independence for the space of discrete projects are defined, and a multiattribute utility theory is linked with...

The impact of a decision maker's risk aversion on the choice of an optimal sampling plan is empirically examined for various batch sizes and prior distributions of the process quality level. These plans are compared to those of the classical linear cost model. The comparisons show that...

This article reports a procedure developed to assist the U.S. Department of Energy in selecting a portfolio of solar energy applications experiments. The procedure has also been used in other government procurements and appears to be applicable in a variety of project funding processes. The...

In variable-base budgeting an organization's resources are partitioned into two categories, those allocated to decision making and those allocated to implementation, and both sets of resources are further subdivided as necessary---between departments, across time stages, etc. The purpose of the...

The paper describes the activities of venture capitalists as an orderly process involving five sequential steps. These are (1) Deal Origination: The processes by which deals enter into consideration as investment prospects, (2) Deal Screening: A delineation of key policy variables which delimit...

This paper develops a model to study the stay/leave decisions of Air Force officers. The model includes the most important institutional factors affecting an officer's career: promotion probabilities and timing, regular force integration probabilities, and mandatory separation and retirement...

A mathematical model is presented which incorporates many descriptive characteristics of decentralized R&D resource allocation processes. In general it is a member of the class of models referred to as decision process models. In specific it is representative of an R&D resource allocation...

This paper describes a methodology based on decision analysis for addressing major program decisions in the development of magnetic fusion energy. The development of this complex technology involves a sequence of funding choices over time among multiple technical approaches and under...

This paper demonstrates the potential role of policy and management analyses at early stages of technology development as exemplified by the case of hot, dry rock (HDR) geothermal energy resources used for electricity generation. Management issues concerning initial drilling depths, power plant...