bias of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates and life expectancy. The ten methods are variants … most accurate point forecasts of mortality rates and the Lee-Miller method is the least biased. For the accuracy and bias … of life expectancy, the weighted Hyndman-Ullah method performs the best for female mortality and the Lee-Miller method …

the empirical findings, we make the study of estimating and forecasting mortality rates based on a semi …Mortality is different across countries, states and regions. Several empirical research works however reveal that … mortality trends exhibit a common pattern and show similar structures across populations. The key element in analyzing mortality …

. We propose a method for non-divergent or coherent forecasting of mortality rates for two or more subpopulations, based on …When independence is assumed, forecasts of mortality for subpopulations are almost always divergent in the long term … functional principal components models of simple and interpretable functions of rates. The product-ratio functional forecasting …

. We propose a method for non-divergent or coherent forecasting of mortality rates for two or more subpopulations, based on …When independence is assumed, forecasts of mortality for subpopulations are almost always divergent in the long term … functional principal components models of simple and interpretable functions of rates. The product-ratio functional forecasting …

After a comparative study of the Lee-Carter forecasting method and looking into the direct extrapolation of mortality … procedures in order to improve its efficiency in the short run and preclude implausible mortality patterns in the long run. The …, when the mortality dynamics exhibit a steady trend. In the long run, the rates of the decline in mortality are assumed to …

the empirical findings, we make the study of estimating and forecasting mortality rates based on a semi …Mortality is different across countries, states and regions. Several empirical research works however reveal that … mortality trends exhibit a common pattern and show similar structures across populations. The key element in analyzing mortality …