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A method is presented to estimate the impact of uncertainty on the results of a multiattribute evaluation prior to conducting a complete probabilistic multiattribute utility analysis. The method assumes that a deterministic analysis has been completed using a weighted-additive multiattribute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009191776
discrete approximations of probability distributions systematically underestimate the moments of the original distribution. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009204108
This paper investigates the accuracy of an approximation procedure for evaluating alternatives under uncertainty with multiple evaluation attributes. This approximation uses only the first two moments of the probability distributions for the alternatives, and hence it can substantially reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009208519
and compute value lotteries and certain equivalents using these discrete approximations. Although decision analysts are … quite comfortable with this approach, there has been relatively little consideration of how these discrete approximations … approximations and compare their performance in a simple example. The results of the example suggest a different approach that offers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009208581
The main goal of this paper is to describe a new multistage Monte Carlo (MMC) simulation method for solving influence diagrams using local computation. Global methods have been proposed by others that sample from the joint probability distribution of all the variables in the influence diagram....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009218097
Motivated by a routing problem faced by banks to enhance their encashment services in the city of Perm, Russia, we solve versions of the traveling salesman problem (TSP) with clustering. To minimize the risk of theft, suppliers seek to operate multiple vehicles and determine an efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015323478
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437818
The 1995 survey on DA (decision analysis) in energy and environmental modeling by Huang et al. [1] listed 95 publications; later Zhou et al. [2] updated the survey with 252 publications by classifying the studies according to source of publications, DA method, application area, and several new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011077708
The 1995 survey on decision analysis (DA) in energy and environmental modeling by [Huang et al. Decision analysis in energy and environmental modeling. Energy 1995; 20: 843–855] lists 95 publications. We updated the survey and found that the number of publications has almost tripled to 252. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010809008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015197547