In a Lucas orchard with heterogeneous beliefs, we study the link between market-wide uncertainty, difference of opinionsand co-movement of stock returns. We show that this link plays an important role in explaining the dynamics of equilibriumvolatility and correlation risk premia. In our...

Testing procedures for predictive regressions with lagged autoregressive variables imply a suboptimal inference in presence of small violations of ideal assumptions. We propose a novel testing framework resistant to such violations, which is consistent with nearly integrated regressors and...

In the first three decades of CRSP data, value stocks have higher betas than growth stocks.Later on, the ranking is reversed and the gap in beta widens. What makes growth strategiesnowadays bear more market risk than value strategies? What are the causes of the reversalin the ranking of betas?...

The end of the lockup period of initial public offerings generally constitutes the first time corporateinsiders sell significant numbers of shares on the market. I test the hypothesis that shareholderspressure analysts to support the share price until the end of the lockup period.[...]

This paper develops a method to compute the equilibrium correspondence for exchangeeconomies with semi-algebraic preferences. Given a class of semi-algebraic exchange economiesparameterized by individual endowments and possibly other exogenous variables such as prefer-ence parameters or asset...

Multiplicity of equilibria is a prevalent problem in many economic models. Oftenequilibria are characterized as solutions to a system of polynomial equations. This pa-per gives an introduction to the application of GrÄobner basis methods for ¯nding allsolutions of a polynomial system. The...

This article examines the recent regulatory developments with regard to shortselling. Short selling regulation is an important factor in firm governancebecause it affects the way in which firms are subject to market discipline. Asthe financial crisis has attracted regulators’ notice to short...

In this paper we propose a smooth transition tree model for both the conditionalmean and variance of the short-term interest rate process. The estimation of suchmodels is addressed and the asymptotic properties of the quasi-maximum likelihoodestimator are derived. Model specification is also...

We calculate learning rates when agents are informed through both public andprivate observation of other agents’ actions. We provide an explicit solution forthe evolution of the distribution of posterior beliefs. When the private learningchannel is present, we show that convergence of the...

We derive representations for the stock price drift and volatility in theequilibrium of agents with arbitrary, heterogeneous utility functionsand with the aggregate dividend following an arbitrary Markov diffusion.We introduce a new, intrinsic characteristic of the aggregate dividendprocess that...