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stochastic effects of the world wheat consumption and the average yields per hectare into account, the possible wheat price range …
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forecast country inflation. This paper constructs forecasts of common (or 'global') inflation using survey forecasts of country … not at a longer horizon. Global inflation forecasts, and forecast errors, are correlated with survey forecasts and errors … forecasting country inflation than do lags of global inflation. However, for most countries, lagged or forecast global inflation …
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the developing world, since average life expectancy is predicted with high explanatory power by variables that can be …
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This chapter summarizes recent literature on asymptotic inference about forecasts. Both analytical and simulation based methods are discussed. The emphasis is on techniques applicable when the number of competing models is small. Techniques applicable when a large number of models is compared to...
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