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This paper presents a simple experiment on how laypeople form macroeconomic expectations. Subjects have to forecast … decisive factor in expectation formation. -- Expectations ; macroeconomic experiment ; use of information ; inflation forecasts …
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. Moreover, individual expectations are found to be more accurate after an update and forecast accuracy is affected by inflation …
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This paper is the first attempt to investigate the performance of different learning rules in fitting survey data of household and expert inflation expectations in five core European economies (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain). Overall it is found that constant gain learning...
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This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about inflation rate. Using the Market Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every period and that even agents who update disagree in their predictions. We...
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