The small sample properties of two types of Chow tests are investigated in the context of multiple time series models. It is found that the tests may have substantially distorted size if the sample size is not large relative to the number of parameters in the model under study. In particular the...

The paper concerns the fixed-width confidence intervals for location based on M- estimators in the location model. A robust three-stage procedure is proposed and its asymptotic properties are studied. The performance of the procedure depends on some tuning parameters. Their effect on the...

People dislike inflation because inflation erodes the real value of future nominal income and wealth. Adjustment of future nominal values via a cost of living index is an appropriate way to handle the problem of real income risk. Nonetheless an important aspect needs more discussion: If markets...

This paper describes a financial market modelling framework that exploits the notion of a deflator . The denominations of the deflator measured in units of primary assets form a minimal set of basic financial quantities that completely specify the overall market dynamics, where deflated asset...

The paper proposes a financial market model that generates stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate using a minimal number of factors that characterise the dynamics of the different denominations of the deflator. It models asset prices essentially as functionals of square root and...

We investigate the relationship between inflation and price variation using highly disaggregated, weekly price data for consumption goods recorded in Germany during 1995, a low inflation period. We find a significant positive correlation between the rates of price change and price dispersion,...

A local linear estimator of generalized impulse response (GIR) functions for nonlinear conditional heteroskedastic autoregressive processes is derived and shown to be asymptotically normal. A plug-in bandwidth is obtained that minimizes the asymptotical mean squared error of the GIR estimator. A...

Let (x, z) be a pair of random vectors. We construct a new "smoothed" empirical likelihood based test for the hypothesis that E(z|x) a.s. = 0, and show that the test statistic is asymptotically normal under the null. An expression for the asymptotic power of this test under a sequence of local...

In the sequel of its seminal application in Davidson, Hendry, Srba and Yeo (1978) the single equation error correction model has been widely used in empirical practice. Providing a clear distinction between short- and long-run dynamics this model allows OLS-methods to be as efficient as...

We investigate a new separable nonparametric model for time series, which includes many ARCH models and AR models already discussed in the literature. We also propose a new estimation procedure based on a localization of the econometric method of instrumental variables. Our method has...