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Qualitative survey data on expectations : is there an alternative to the balance statistic?
Claveria, Oscar - In: Economic forecasting, (pp. 181-189). 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130863
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What's behind the survey values? : an analysis of individualforecasters' behaviour
Paloviita, Maritta; Virén, Matti E. E. - In: Journal of business cycle measurement and analysis : a … (2014) 2, pp. 25-43
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922950
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Quantifying subjective uncertainty in survey expectations
Krüger, Fabian; Pavlova, Lora - 2019
scoring rule. We demonstrate the measure's good performance in a simulation study based on empirical data from the Survey of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012153653
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Quantifying noise in survey expectations
Juodis, Artūras; Kucinskas, Simas - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 14 (2023) 2, pp. 609-650
Expectations affect economic decisions, and inaccurate expectations are costly. Expectations can be wrong due to either bias (systematic mistakes) or noise (unsystematic mistakes). We develop a framework for quantifying the level of noise in survey expectations. The method is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014308585
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Survey expectations and adjustments for multiple testing
Clements, Michael P. - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization 224 (2024), pp. 338-354
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014634100
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Quantifying subjective uncertainty in survey expectations
Krüger, Fabian; Pavlova, Lora - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 2, pp. 796-810
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547207
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Zinsstruktur und Zinsprognose : theoretische Beziehungen und empirische Evidenzen für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland
Anker, Peter - 1993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013420387
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Zinsstruktur, reales Wirtschaftswachstum und Geldpolitik : eine ökonometrische Analyse am Beispiel Deutschlands
Nienstedt, Dietmar - 1996
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013436899
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Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed event forecasts
Dovern, Jonas (contributor); Fritsche, Ulrich (contributor) - 2008
A couple of recent papers have shifted the focus towards disagreement of professional forecasters. When dealing with survey data that is sampled at a frequency higher than annual and that includes only fixed event forecasts, e.g. expectation of average annual growth rates measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726076
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Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed-event forecasts
Dovern, Jonas; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2008
A couple of recent papers have shifted the focus towards disagreement of professional forecasters. When dealing with survey data that is sampled at a frequency higher than annual and that includes only fixed event forecasts, e.g. expectation of average annual growth rates measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426358