Die wirtschaftlichen Entwicklungen rohstoffreicher Länder fallen bisweilen sehr unterschiedlich aus. Folgt man der wissenschaftlichen Literatur, steht den segensreichen Rohstofferträgen eine Reihe unerwünschter Nebenwirkungen gegenüber. So kann es im Zuge von Rohstoffexporten zu einer...

Using factor models, it has recently been shown that a pre-selection of indicators improves GDP forecasts in the very short-term. The aim of this paper is to adopt this research to the methodology of bridge models in combination with pooling approaches. Focusing on Euro Area GDP between 2005 and...

In periods of unusual weather, forecasters face a problem of interpreting economic data: Which part goes back to the underlying economic trend and which part arises from a special weather effect? In this paper, we discuss ways to disentangle weather-related from business cycle-related influences...

Following the notion of skill-biased FDI flows from developed to less developed regions, high-skilled workers are likely to benefit from FDI to a larger extent. They earn a productivity advantage that potentially transfers into a skilled wage premium. This gives rise to distributional conflict...

In the academic debate there is a broad consensus that house price fluctuations have a substantial impact on financial stability and real economic activity. Therefore, it is important to have timely information on actual and expected house price developments. The aim of this paper is to measure...

It is often argued that countries with a high population share of children and young workers should attract large capital infl ows from aging industrialized economies. However, many of these countries deter foreign investors by a high risk of creeping or outright expropriation. In this paper we...