The paper identifies key changes in the betting environment that have raised risks to the integrity of sport. The risks are discussed in the context of a model where potential fixers evaluate the costs and benefits to them of engaging in manipulation of events on the field for betting gain....

The most robust anomaly noted in the literature on wagering markets is (positive) longshot bias: over a period of 50 years, it has been well documented in horse betting that higher expected returns accrue to short- than to long-odds bets. However, a few examples of betting markets with zero or...

The United Kingdom National Lottery is a member of a lottery block that offers a weekly lotto game, known as EuroMillions, for which tickets are now sold across nine countries. The paper examines whether the game has cannibalised sales in the pre-existing national lotto game and whether, with...

In this paper we present a method for performing regression with stable disturbances. The method of maximum likelihood is used to estimate both distribution and regression parameters. Our approach utilises a numerical integration procedure to calculate the stable density, followed by sequential...

The paper introduces a model for forecasting match results for the top tier of men’s professional tennis, the ATP tour. Employing a Bradley-Terry type model, and utilising the data available on players’ past results and the surface of the contest, we predict match winners for the coming...

The paper introduces a model for forecasting match results for the top tier of men's professional tennis, the ATP tour. Employing a Bradley-Terry type model, and utilising the data available on players' past results and the surface of the contest, we predict match winners for the coming week's...