This paper empirically probes the nexus between political instability and economic growth in Guyana using time-series data covering the period 1961 – 2018 and GARCH (1,1) models. The results show that changes in the Head of State (HOS) exert a positive and significant impact on real GDP growth...

This paper explores the influence of trader (or cambio) market power in determining the foreign exchange market bid-ask spread. It presents a theoretical model that incorporates the notion of oligopolistic market power into the foreign exchange market. The econometric results are consistent with...

This paper notes that a high sterilization coefficient plus a de facto pegged exchange rate indicates the existence of dual nominal anchors. The econometric evidence presented shows that several Caribbean economies with fixed exchange rate regimes also possess high sterilization coefficients....

Starting in 2004 the Guyanese foreign exchange rate has been remarkably stable relative to earlier periods. This paper explores the reasons for the stability of the rate. First, the degree of concentration in the foreign exchange market has increased, thus making the task of moral suasion...

Guyana has been able to reverse decades of economic decline and stagnation with five consecutive years of robust growth during the period 2006-2010. The study probes whether Guyana has finally turned the corner. The study finds that good policies as well as good luck explain much of the recent...

This paper explores the influence of trader (or cambio) market power in determining the foreign exchange market bid-ask spread. In particular, it presents a theoretical model that incorporates the notion of oligopolistic power into the foreign exchange market. The econometric analysis...

A historical overview of structural change is presented to motivate the calculation of sectoral factor productivities for Guyana and Suriname using a structural VAR and a novel resource-dominant identification strategy. The paper finds that the extractive sector lowers manufacturing output in...

The study attempts to ascertain the determinants of non-performing loans in the Guyanese banking sector using a panel dataset and a fixed effect model similar to Jimenez and Saurina (2005). Consistent with international evidence we find that the real effective exchange rate has a significant...

Starting in 2004 the Guyanese foreign exchange rate has been remarkably stable relative to earlier periods. This paper explores the reasons for the stability of the rate. First, the degree of concentration in the foreign exchange market has increased, thus making the task of moral suasion...

The study attempts to ascertain the determinants of non-performing loans in the Guyanese banking sector using a panel dataset and a fixed effect model similar to Jimenez and Saurina (2005). Consistent with international evidence we find that the real effective exchange rate has a significant...