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capital, population and technology, obtained by averaged panel error correction models, to project the long-term primary … different Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Scenarios (SSPs) developed for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010660295
capital, population and technology, obtained by averaged panel error correction models, to project the long-term primary … different Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Scenarios (SSPs) developed for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063739
interannual climate variability indicators help forecast short-/medium- term CO2 emissions. In addition, a combination of models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009779409
portfolio diversification by centralized power generation capitalists. Part Two employs an error correction model to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011989909
We analyse the importance of macroeconomic information, such as industrial production index and oil price, for forecasting daily electricity prices in two of the main European markets, Germany and Italy. We do that by means of mixed-frequency models, introducing a Bayesian approach to reverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987142
We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil …, estimation of time-varying forecast biases and facets of miscalibration of individual forecast densities and time-varying inter …-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544443
publicly available information among crowd analysts. We further show that crowdsourced consensus forecast does not influence … the market's expectation of gas storage changes beyond what is already contained in professional consensus forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846396
the West Texas Intermediate oil price) and 28% (for the Dubai oil price). Moreover, we find that the directional forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035180
In this paper, we examine the relationship between volume and volatility for crude oil markets in the context of Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis (MDH). We find that there exists a positive and significant relationship between volume and volatility in case of WTI Crude oil, supporting the MDH....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255356