The purpose of this study is to identify sources of regime switching in short-term interest rates for Canada. The choice of information variables is based on three well-known hypotheses about interest rates: the expectations hypothesis, the Fisher relationship, and the condition for uncovered...

The objective of this study is to identify the impact of the recent period of international integration of bond markets on interest rates in a small open economy. The empirical methodology captures a financial globalization regime with a nonlinear, structural vector autoregression (SVAR) and a...

This study extends a state-space representation of the yield curve and the macroeconomy to a small open economy in order to study the dynamic interaction between the yield curves in Canada and the U.S. The framework treats the U.S. term structure of interest rates as being exogenous to both the...

This study captures regime-switching, monetary policy responses to financial market disturbances in Canada. Monetary policy is identified within a nonlinear, structural VAR framework with a regime-switching policy block that allows for contemporaneous policy reactions in a small open economy....

This study estimates a dynamic latent factor model of the yield curve for Canada using a newly constructed data series on the term structure of constant-maturity, zero-coupon interest rates. The state-space representation of the model is used to assess the dynamic interaction between three...