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In light of the recent discussion regarding the measurement of uncertainty and its impact on economic activity, this paper derives forward-looking measures of uncertainty and directional expectations for the CHF/EUR exchange rate based on over-the-counter option data and analyses its impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946988
This paper is motivated by the controversial issue in the literature pertaining to the impact of real exchange rate, housing prices and stock prices on current account fluctuations. Thailand's quarterly data are used to examine the impacts of shocks to asset prices and real exchange rate on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967437
appreciating that were put in place in 2013. I focus its on the impact on output, unemployment, and inflation. I use the synthetic … connected to disturbances created by changes in excise taxes. The effect of the commitment on inflation is positive but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515767
rather than higher inflation? We find that tight monetary policy facilitates the reversal of currency undervaluation through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212113
This study examines the impacts of unconventional monetary policy on the exchange rate, stock market, and bond market during the COVID-19 economic crisis in an emerging economy. It focuses particularly on the asset purchase program conducted by the Central Bank of India. The Central Bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198715
We investigate an impact of oil-price shocks on GDP and exchange rate dynamics in resource-heterogeneous economies. We employ a Markov regime-switching version of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model to allow for regime shifts, non-linear effects and timevarying parameters of the VAR process....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369064
In this paper, we examine the role of global and domestic credit supply shocks in macroeconomic fluctuations for Emerging Markets. For this purpose, we impose a set of zero and sign restrictions within a medium-scale Bayesian Vector Auto-Regressive model. Quarterly data from South Africa and G-7...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754529
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012152398
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014631590
We propose a two-step approach to estimate multi-dimensional monetary policy shocks and their causal effects requiring only daily financial market data and policy events. First, we combine a heteroscedasticity-based identification scheme with recursive zero restrictions along the term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052047