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evaluations suggest that both ifo and ZEW provide the best forecasts for industrial production among the three indicators ifo, PMI … and ZEW. It is found that the ZEW indicator performs better than the ifo and PMI over the whole sample (Jan. 1994 - Mar … Managers Index (PMI) and the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (ZEW) lead the yearon-year growth rate of German industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447594
evaluations suggest that both ifo and ZEW provide the best forecasts for industrial production among the three indicators ifo, PMI … and ZEW. It is found that the ZEW indicator performs better than the ifo and PMI over the whole sample (Jan. 1994 – Mar … Managers Index (PMI) and the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (ZEW) lead the yearon-year growth rate of German industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097925
This paper analyzes which factors are driving the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment. Using the results of a poll …-of-sample forecasts for the ZEW Indicator. We find that a simple model that includes German manufacturing order data, the German yield … model as well as the consensus forecast for the ZEW Indicator as published by news agencies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297299
In der vorliegenden Arbeit untersuchen wir die Eignung der ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und der ZEW … Umfragen unter Finanzanalysten basierenden ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen einen signifikanten einmonatigen Vorlauf vor den ifo …-Geschäftserwartungen haben. Wir führen dies auf unterschiedliche Erwartungsbildungen der beiden Gruppen zurück. Die ZEW …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428388
In der vorliegenden Arbeit untersuchen wir die Eignung der ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und der ZEW … Umfragen unter Finanzanalysten basierenden ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen einen signifikanten einmonatigen Vorlauf vor den ifo …-Geschäftserwartungen haben. Wir führen dies auf unterschiedliche Erwartungsbildungen der beiden Gruppen zurück. Die ZEW …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445667
-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a "data-poor environment" at the sub-national level by including more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011685344
leading indicator property is assessed with regard to forecasting industrial production in Russia and Germany. For this … forecasting performance of the leading indicators for both countries revealing marked differences between Russia and Germany. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286389
In der vorliegenden Arbeit untersuchen wir die Eignung der ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und der ZEW … Umfragen unter Finanzanalysten basierenden ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen einen signifikanten einmonatigen Vorlauf vor den ifo …-Geschäftserwartungen haben. Wir führen dies auf unterschiedliche Erwartungsbildungen der beiden Gruppen zurück. Die ZEW …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297738
This study analyzes the performance of the IMF World Economic Outlook forecasts for world output and the aggregates of both the advanced economies and the emerging and developing economies. With a focus on the forecast for the current and the next year, we examine whether IMF forecasts can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484392
This study analyses the performance of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook output forecasts for the world and for both the advanced economies and the emerging and developing economies. With a focus on the forecast for the current year and the next year, we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011878368