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Using firm-level survey data for the West German manufacturing sector, this paper revisits the technology-driven business cycle hypothesis for the case of aggregate investment. We construct a survey-based measure of technology shocks to gauge their contribution to short-run investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293983
Die verlinkte Stellungnahme stellt heraus, welche Probleme beim Datenzugang aus makroökonomischer Perspektive bestehen. Hierzu zählt neben der verbesserungswürdigen Datenverfügbarkeit insbesondere die fehlende Möglichkeit der Datenverknüpfung. Lösungsansätze - beispielsweise die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014479654
The sensitivity of U.S. aggregate investment to shocks is procyclical: the initial response increases by approximately 50% from the trough to the peak of the business cycle. This feature of the data follows naturally from a DSGE model with lumpy microeconomic capital adjustment. Beyond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710232
The sensitivity of U.S. aggregate investment to shocks is procyclical: the response upon impact increases by approximately 50% from the trough to the peak of the business cycle. This feature of the data follows naturally from a DSGE model with lumpy microeconomic capital adjustment. Beyond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593547
Microeconomic lumpiness matters for macroeconomics. According to our DSGE model, it explains roughly 60% of the smoothing in the investment response to aggregate shocks. The remaining 40% is explained by general equilibrium forces. The central role played by micro frictions for aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593597
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What is the impact of time-varying business uncertainty on economic activity? Using partly confidential business survey data from the U.S. and Germany in structural VARs, we find that positive innovations to business uncertainty lead to prolonged declines in economic activity. In contrast, their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008628459
Microeconomic lumpiness matters for macroeconomics. According to our DSGE model, it is responsible for 92 percent of the smoothing in the investment response to aggregate shocks, and it introduces important nonlinearities and history dependance in business cycles and policy sensitivity. General...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069322