This paper models the relationship between consumer and asset prices (approximated by house prices, oil prices and the exchange rate) by means of a Markov Switching model (MS model). It can be shown that house prices appear to play a significant role in the determination of consumer prices in a...

Die Investitionstätigkeit der Unternehmen ist ein Motor der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung. Trotz günstiger Finanzierungsbedingungen hielten sich die Firmen in den vergangenen Jahren in Deutschland und im Euroraum aber weitgehend zurück, wenn es darum ging, in ihre Produktionsanlagen zu...

We analyze for the first time cash holdings of private households in all euro area countries from 2002 to 2019 within a panel cointegration framework. Besides the traditional determinants of cash demand like transactions balances and opportunity costs, we concentrate on cashless payments media...

This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...

Zusammenfassung Die Analyse von täglichen Änderungen der deutschen Umlaufsrendite für festverzinsliche Wertpapiere der öffentlichen Hand zeigt starke Evidenz für eine zeitliche Abhängigkeit in den Varianzen für die Periode Januar 1981 - Juli 1996. Der untersuchte Zeitraum umfaßt die...

Summary In this paper, the P-star framework is mainly used to examine the importance of money for future price movements in the euro area. Constructing the equilibrium price level, simple-sum M3 and different Divisia M3 aggregates are considered. In addition, nominal money changes are...