The recent financial crisis has demonstrated in an impressive way that boom/bust cycles can have devastating effects on the real economy. This paper aims at contributing to the literature on early warning indicator exercises for asset price development. Using a sample of 17 industrialised OECD...

This paper contributes to the literature on the properties of money and creditindicators for detecting asset price misalignments. After a review of the evidence inthe literature on this issue, the paper discusses the approaches that can be consideredto detect asset price busts. Considering a...

The relationship between inflation and real GDP growth is one of the most widely researched topics in macroeconomics. At the same time, it is certainly not exaggerated to claim that this nexus also stands at the heart of monetary policy, given the fact that low inflation in combination with high...

In dem Beitrag werden zinsgewichtete Geldmengenaggregate analysiert und mit dem einfachen Summenaggregat M3 verglichen. Die Zinsgewichtung orientiert sich an den Opportunitätskosten der Geldkomponenten, d.h. dem Zinsverlust gegenüber höher verzinslichen Finanzanlagen, die keine...

Die Analyse von täglichen Änderungen der deutschen Umlaufsrendite für festverzinsliche Wertpapiere der öffentlichen Hand zeigt starke Evidenz für eine zeitliche Abhängigkeit in den Varianzen für die Periode Januar 1981 - Juli 1996. Der untersuchte Zeitraum umfasst die Einführung von...

In this paper we test the purchasing power parity for the post Bretton Woods period for 18 main industrial countries. As base currencies we use alternatively the Deutsche mark, the Japanese yen, and the US dollar. We employ error correction models for single countries and on the level of pooled...