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April 2004 and December 2008. Estimates of baseline time series models (ARMAX and ARMAX-EGARCH) and their forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008486950
April 2004 and December 2008. Estimates of baseline time series models (ARMAX and ARMAX-EGARCH) and their forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596160
In the last decades, electricity markets thoughout the Eurozone have undergone substantial changes. The deregulation of electricity markets stimulated investments in the production and distribution of energy, but there are large risks associated with these investments due to price volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010961041
This paper analyzes the special features of electricity spot prices derived from the physics of this commodity and from the economics of supply and demand in a market pool. Besides mean-reversion, a property they share with other commodities, power prices exhibit the unique feature of spikes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166403
This paper analyzes the special features of electricity spot prices derived from the physics of this commodity and from the economics of supply and demand in a market pool. Besides mean-reversion, a property they share with other commodities, power prices exhibit the unique feature of spikes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008532430
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286592
We consider maximum likelihood estimation of a particular noninvertible ARMA model with autoregressive conditionally …/or noninvertible ARMA models and all-pass models, our estimation theory does allow for Gaussian innovations. We give conditions under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500222
method to jointly sample from an ARMA process of unknown order along with the associated parameters. We apply the method to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335461
persistence estimates and the appropriate ARMA models. The results for the UK is sensitive to the time period. An analysis of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380697
variance and squared return processes are ARMA and, hence, simple for forecasting and inference purposes; (iv) more importantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005545733