Showing 1 - 10 of 98,263
identified as three significant breaks. -- real options ; oil ; volatility ; CAPM ; comparative statics … market is nonpositive and not invariant to changes in volatility. For crude oil during 1993-2008, these changes are … volatility need not be increased value and postponed investment. This depends on signs of correlations and what parameters are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746544
market is nonpositive and not invariant to changes in volatility. For crude oil during 1993–2008, these changes are … volatility need not be increased value and postponed investment. This depends on signs of correlations and what parameters are … held constant. For real options, the rate-of-return shortfall may change. The CAPM is commonly used to determine this. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010785540
We value two real options related to offshore petroleum production. We consider expansion of an offshore oil field by … develop at current oil prices, the option to tie in such satellites can have a significant value if the oil price increases …: oil price risk and production uncertainty. The option valuation is based on the Least-Squares Monte Carlo algorithm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111718
We explore the implications for asset prices and implied volatilities in an equilibrium model of commodity production. Production of the commodity can be carried out in one of two regimes. In the first regime the reserves are set in constant decline while in the second regime new additions to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061596
This paper presents an economic interpretation of the optimal “stopping” of perpetual project opportunities under both certainty and uncertainty. Prior to stopping, the expected rate of return from delay exceeds the rate of interest. The expected rate of return from delay is the sum of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051951
. First, empirical data are often characterized by time-varying volatility and fat tails; therefore we use Gaussian GAS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465169
This paper surveys the theoretical literature investigating the effect of firms' investment flexibility on the cross-section of expected stock returns. Real options analysis derives firms' value-maximizing investment policies as functions of exogenous fundamental drivers of profitability and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090291
volatility risk that illiquidity and virtually all impediments to trade cannot be priced in the absence of excess short …, to show that market volatility is systematically priced. Moreover, only in the presence of non-binding but higher short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998134
This paper presents a practical volatility estimation method for cash flow simulation based real option valuation with … changing volatility. During cash flow simulation, present value of the future cash flows and their corresponding cash flow … provide all the information required for estimating how the standard deviation and volatility of the stochastic process change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123815
R&D is often a highly uncertain venture where experiments achieve successful outcomes on an extraordinarily rare basis. Just one successful product could change the future of a company; the discovery stage can often be an invaluable or disastrous experience. We develop a real R&D option model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160214