Neural networks, grid computing, parallelization, high-dimensional optimization, quantitative investment, decision support. - Neuronale Netze, Parallelisierung, hoch-dimensionale Optimierung, quantitatives Investment, Entscheidungsunterstützung

We study the relation between the credit cycle and macro-economic fundamentals in an intensity-based framework. Using rating transition and default data of U.S. corporates from Standard and Poor’s over the period 1980-2005 we directly estimate the credit cycle from the micro rating data. We...