Several studies provide theoretic analysis of agents' motivations for trading in financial markets. Broadly speaking, these studies imply that trading volume results from (i) information flows, (ii) cross-sectional differences in agents' assessment of value, and (iii) agents' random liquidity...

This study utilizes both real-time transaction prices and bid-ask quotes in evaluating the profitability of arbitrage strategies for the Hong Kong index futures and index options market. Taking into account the bid-ask spread in identifying arbitrage opportunities, we avoid the selection bias...

We investigate whether the demonstrated effectiveness of technical analysis for forecasting equity returns can be reconciled with market efficiency. We find that evidence supportive of technical sell signals identifying periods of negative expected returns is confined to the pre-1940 subsamples....

This paper investigates whether investors can exploit the contrarian cycle to improve the profitability of momentum strategies. We conjecture that the momentum strategies implemented in the early stage of price reversal (MSES) are more profitable than those implemented in the late stage of price...

We further investigate and provide interpretation for the intriguing Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) finding that simple forms of technical analysis contain significant forecast power for US equity index returns. We document that the forecast ability is partially, but not solely,...

We examine relationships among currency and commodity futures markets based on four commodity exporting countries' currency futures returns and a range of index based commodity futures returns. These four commodity linked currencies are the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, New Zealand dollar,...

Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects, such as inflation and low rates of economic growth. Commodity Prices and Markets advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing...