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A two-step approach for conditional Value at Risk (VaR) estimation is considered. In the first step, a generalized-quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (gQMLE) is employed to estimate the volatility parameter, and in the second step the empirical quantile of the residuals serves to estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015239509
Estimation of log-GARCH models via the ARMA representation is attractive because it enables a vast amount of already established results in the ARMA literature. We propose an exponential Chi-squared QMLE for log-GARCH models via the ARMA representation. The advantage of the estimator is that it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015239857
A new approach is proposed to estimate a large class of multivariate volatility models. The method is based on estimating equation-by-equation the volatility parameters of the individual returns by quasi-maximum likelihood in a first step, and estimating the correlations based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015241417
We establish the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the variance-targeting estimator (VTE) of the parameters of the multivariate CCC-GARCH($p,q$) processes. This method alleviates the numerical difficulties encountered in the maximization of the quasi likelihood by using an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015243620
Regularity conditions are given for the consistency of the Poisson quasi-maximum likelihood estimator of the conditional mean parameter of a count time series. The asymptotic distribution of the estimator is studied when the parameter belongs to the interior of the parameter space and when it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015244947
The asymptotic distribution of the Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) is obtained for a wide class of asymmetric GARCH models with exogenous covariates. The true value of the parameter is not restricted to belong to the interior of the parameter space, which allows us to derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015246857
Estimation of large financial volatility models is plagued by the curse of dimensionality: As the dimension grows, joint estimation of the parameters becomes infeasible in practice. This problem is compounded if covariates or conditioning variables (``X") are added to each volatility equation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015249356
We consider joint estimation of conditional Value-at-Risk (VaR) at several levels, in the framework of general GARCH-type models. The conditional VaR at level $\alpha$ is expressed as the product of the volatility and the opposite of the $\alpha$-quantile of the innovation. A standard method is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015249400
Tests for spherical symmetry of the innovation distribution are proposed in multivariate GARCH models. The new tests are of Kolmogorov--Smirnov and Cram\'er--von Mises--type and make use of the common geometry underlying the characteristic function of any spherically symmetric distribution. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015249512
We study the estimation risk induced by univariate and multivariate methods for evaluating the conditional Value-at-Risk (VaR) of a portfolio of assets. The composition of the portfolio can be time-varying and the individual returns are assumed to follow a general multivariate dynamic model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015249889