In hypothesis testing with nuisance parameters present only under the alternative two issues typically arise: (i) critical values are data dependent and so cannot be tabulated; (ii) we need to choose a functional over the nuisance parameter space. We address the first issue by providing easily...

The aim of this paper is to characterize and analyze long-run comovements among diffusion processes. Broadly speaking, if <italic>X</italic> = (<italic>X</italic>₁,,<italic>X</italic>₂,;t ≥ 0) is a nonergodic diffusion in R², but there exists a linear combination, say, γ′<italic>X</italic>, that is instead ergodic in R, then we say there exists a linear...

We derive continuous approximations of stochastic evolutionary dynamics in games. Depending on how we construct the continuous limit, we obtain a continuous approxi-mation that is either an ordinary differential equation (ODE) or a stochastic differential equation (SDE). Our SDE approximation...

We propose a theoretical approach to bandwidth choice for continuous-time Markov processes. We do so in the context of stationary and nonstationary processes of the recurrent kind. The procedure consists of two steps. In the first step, by invoking local Gaussianity, we suggest an automated...

This paper proposes a two-step procedure to back out the conditional alpha of a given stock using high-frequency data. We rst estimate the realized factor loadings of the stocks, and then retrieve their conditional alphas by estimating the conditional expectation of their risk- adjusted returns....

In 2005, the Indian Government launched a conditional cash-incentive program to encourage institutional delivery. This paper studies the effects of the program on neonatal mortality using district-level household survey data. We model mortality using survival analysis, paying special attention...

This paper introduces a no-arbitrage framework to assess how macroeconomic factors help explain the risk-premium agents require to bear the risk of fluctuations in stock market volatil- ity. We develop a model in which return volatility and volatility risk-premia are stochastic and derive...

How does stock market volatility relate to the business cycle? We develop, and estimate, a no-arbitrage model, and find that (i) the level and fluctuations of stock volatility are largely explained by business cycle factors and (ii) some unobserved factor contributes to nearly 20% to the overall...