This study examines rainfall variability and its implications for wheat production risk in northeast Germany. The hedging effectiveness of rainfall options and the role of geographical basis risk are analyzed using a daily precipitation model. Simpler pricing methods such as the burn analysis...

The probability that buyers are deceived with regard to the quality or safety of purchased products (moral hazard) increases with the profits which suppliers can earn through opportunistic behaviour. It decreases with the probability and level of losses that result from disclosure of...

Landwirte wechseln oft nicht von ihrer Hausbank zu einer anderen Bank, auch wenn diese bessere Konditionen bietet. Diese „Wechselträgheit“ kann zum einen in den Transaktionskosten des Wechsels begründet sein. Zum anderen kann sie aber auch das Ergebnis begrenzt rationalen...

Sowohl Ernteversicherungen als auch „Wetterderivate“ sind neuartige Risikomanagementinstrumente, die eine Absicherung gegen Schäden aus nichtkatastrophalen Wetterereignissen ermöglichen, in Deutschland aber bisher nicht verbreitet sind. Im vorliegenden Beitrag wird mit Hilfe eines...

"Mathematical programming has for a long time been recognized as a powerful tool. Despite its capacity for solving constrained optimization problems under uncertainty, some methodological obstacles have persisted over the years. The main problem is that the eventually complex results of an...

Mathematically oriented microeconomic research has contributed enormously to the understanding of economic behavior and the functioning of markets and institutions. However, theoretical as well as applied microeconomic studies may be driven too much by mathematical feasibility. An illustrative...

In this paper we price a precipitation option based on empirical weather data from Germany using different pricing methods, among them Burn Analysis, Index Value Simulation and Daily Simulation. For that purpose we develop a daily precipitation model. Moreover, a decorrelation analysis is...

Weather derivatives are difficult to price due to the nontradability of weather and the absence of liquid secondary markets for these contracts. We use the concept of indifference pricing to develop a model for calculating the willingness to pay for weather insurance. Compared with other...