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Do financial market analysts use structural economic models when forecasting exchange rates? This is the leading question analysed in this apper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations instead of realised data. Therefore we analyse the implicit structural models forecasters have in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324025
By applying SEMIFAR models (Beran, 1999), we examine 'long memory' in the volatility of worldwide stock market indices. Our analysis yields strong evidence of 'long memory' in stock market volatility, either in terms of stochastic long-range dependence or in form of deterministic trends. In some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324030
Strong lending relationships between banks and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) play a key role in the bank-based financial system of Germany. So far, they have been mainly described by the notion of a housebank and transactional features of long-term bank-customer relationships. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324040
allows us to obtain an estimator of the conditional volatility per time. this kind of volatility estimation solves the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324041
a time-invariant price process, we question this assumption by means of a minimum distance estimation framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324047
The paper investigates the impact of corporate governance on the performance of 361 German corporations over the time period 1991 to 1996. We find ownership concentration to affect profitability significantly negatively. Representation of owners on the board of executive directors does not make...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324052
short- and long-range dependence. An iterative data-driven algorithm combines MLE and kernel estimation. Predictions combine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324055
Pricing of cap insurance contracts is considered for political mortgage rates. A simple stochastic process for mortgage rates is proposed. The process is based on renewal processes for modelling the length of periods with downward and upward trend respectively. Prices are calculated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324057
This paper delineates the simultaneous impact of non-anticipated information on mean and variance of the intraday return process by including appropriate variables accounting for the news flow into both the mean and the variance function. This allows us to differentiate between the consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324062
This paper presents structural estimates for a bargaining model which nests the right-to-manage, the efficient wage bargaining, the seniority and the standard neo- classical labor demand model as special cases. In contrast to most existing models, our approach accounts for heterogeneous skill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324070