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Our paper examines the association between components of analysts' earnings surprises and future earnings. We decompose the analysts' earnings surprise into its revenue, pretax margin, pretax income, and tax components. After controlling for current period earnings and discretionary accruals, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999728
We theorize that accounting systems affect analysts' forecast accuracy through changes in earnings variability. We … forecast errors. We also argue that restricting the choice of accounting methods can result in larger forecast errors. We argue … that more informative disclosure environments should reduce forecast errors. We test whether variation in these factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006499
An examination of analysts' accuracy in predicting annual earnings for firms reporting losses and firms reporting profits finds that analysts are ten times more accurate in predicting the earnings of profit firms. They have also improved their predictive ability for profit firms since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006503
We provide evidence of a non-intuitive link between equity analysts and bank loans. We hypothesize and find that the precision of the private information in sell-side equity analysts' earnings forecasts is associated with price and non-price characteristics of private debt. Using a measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006958
-levels of forecast dispersion following the IR release and 2) a between-firm matching analysis to test whether an IR release is …-IR firms selected as control group. The results show that a single IR (type 3) decreases the post-level of forecast dispersion … of IR firms with a smaller pre-forecast dispersion in comparison with the control group. Moreover, IR completeness and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965104
component does not forecast future returns, and the hard component does forecast future returns, but in a perverse way …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969603
Using analysts' multi-period earnings forecasts, this paper investigates whether analyst forecast errors are related to … higher information uncertainty, and (3) forecasts with longer forecast horizons (e.g., forecasts issued far before fiscal … year end). Adding forecast errors to a growth-return regression substantially reduces the coefficient on asset growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034419
accuracy. In sum, we find that analysts react to information conveyed by all four parameters of a management range forecast and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036561
This study examines the effects of customer satisfaction on analysts' earnings forecast errors. Based on a sample of … reduces earnings forecast errors. However, analysts respond to changes in customer satisfaction but not to the ACSI metric per … of customer satisfaction on analysts' forecast errors differ across economic sectors. We discuss the implications of our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038766
Analysts are motivated to fulfill client demand for information, and institutional investors are sell-side analysts' most important clients. Following time allocation theory, analysts likely prioritize tasks and the firms they follow to maximize their overall utility. I posit analysts issue more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985728