We investigate the out-of-sample forecasting ability of the HML, SMB, momentum, short-term and long-term reversal factors along with their size and value decompositions on U.S. bond and stock returns for a variety of horizons ranging from the short run (1 month) to the long run (2 years). Our...

Risk-adjusted momentum returns are usually estimated by constructing momentum portfolios and then running a full-sample regression of their returns on a set of factors (portfolio-level risk adjustment). This approach implicitly assumes constant factor exposure of the momentum portfolio. However,...

There is substantial evidence that indicates that stocks that perform the best (worst) over a three to 12 month period tend to continue to perform well (poorly) over the subsequent three to 12 months. Up until recently, trading strategies that exploit this phenomenon were consistently profitable...

The paper re-examines whether investors can predict oil and gas stock prices for abnormal returns using autocorrelation-based trading and filter rules and moving average based strategies. Short and long lengths moving averages were employed and their performances measured against the returns...

This paper investigates whether news suggestive of irrationality within financial markets have an impact on stock returns. We construct a lexicon of words for 'market irrationality' and score daily news articles based on the number and proportion of words they contain from the lexicon. We find...

Using the "Dragon and Tiger" list, we construct a clean indicator that directly measures investor attention, empirically test the effect of investor attention on stock return under negative shocks and whether the effect is affected by the bull or bear market, the industry, firm size, age and...

Stock market returns are driven by political events. Investors adjust their behavior and reallocate their investments with respect to them. This study examines the effects of Myanmar’s 2020 general election and 2021 military coup on the Yangon Stock Exchange’s (YSX) returns. Myanmar is one...

In traditional tests of asset pricing theory Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression methods are used in empirical tests of factor models, which implies a focus on the means of the distributions of covariates. The work of Koenker and Basset (1982) and Koenker (2005) provides an alternative via...

The paper explores the impact that equity duration has on the observed cross section of realized returns by decomposing standard market wide BE/ME into two separate components; stationary and time varying. Separation is achieved though grouping firms into their appropriate industries and...

We develop a finite-sample procedure to test for mean-variance efficiency and spanning without imposing any parametric assumptions on the distribution of model disturbances. In so doing, we provide an exact distribution-free method to test uniform linear restrictions in multivariate linear...