The theory of self-fulfilling currency attacks predicts that pegged foreign exchange rates are extremely sensitive to adverse and hostile speculation. This is true whenever fiscal policy and monetary policy are inconsistent with each other, or even when intensive and public official intervention...

This paper has the purpose of testing the expectations hypothesis of the term structure for two corporate bond yields. A new test is developed based on an ARIMA data generation process of the short rate, and on the derivation of a relation between the change in the long rate and revisions of...

Theoretically the expected return on any financial asset need not equal the average of the actual return. In this paper, the expected equity premium is estimated based on two fundamentals: the Gordon dividend model with constant growth, and duration analysis. The result is that the ex ante, or...

There is a puzzle in financial economics, called risk-free rate puzzle, named after Weil (1989). This puzzle consists of the observation that the risk-free rate is too low to be explained by actual consumption behaviour. Building upon previous research, and applying the concept of minimum...

A model due to Lucas is estimated between the real stock market returns and real dividends on the market index. The sample spans the period from 1872 to 1987 on an annual basis. The results are close to theoretical expectations: the coefficient of relative risk aversion, which minimizes the sum...

This study identifies three anomalies in the British capital markets. It is statistically proven that the logs of six stock prices, in the British stock market, are cointegrated with the logs of a market index, a bond price, and an exchange rate. This means that the lagged residual of each...

Dynamic programming is often used by researchers to find the first-order Euler relation when the discounted utility of an infinite stream of consumption is maximized, subject to one or more constraints. Although the consumption model is the same in most studies, the specification of the...

Theoretically commodity prices are expected to overshoot the money supply in the short run but to vary with unit proportionality in the long run. This follows from the observation that consumer prices are sticky and that commodity prices, set in auction markets are fully flexible. There is...

The purpose of this paper is to find the determinants of cyclical real aggregate dividends. In the literature, dividends are hypothesized to be proportional to real permanent earnings, with a smoothing factor that is between zero and +1. An additional postulate is that dividends adjust to a...

This paper analyses the statistical behavior of the US dollar, against nine different currencies, over the float period, with a monthly data set. The martingale hypothesis is rejected for all currencies. However, all currencies have a unit root. There is overwhelming evidence for significant...