Recent literature reported conflicting results about the cointegration relationship between the spot and forward exchange rates. Applying rolling cointegration tests to the mark, yen, and Swiss franc with respect to the U.S. dollar for the post-80 period, we find that the relationship between...

Many observers have criticized recent IMF actions and program announcements during the Asian crisis by arguing that the IMF's declaration that Asia needed drastic reforms with respect to institutional issues such as transparency, corporate governance and corruption has led investors to panic and...

Using monthly post-WWII data from 13 developed and developing countries and a battery of GARCH models, the influential study of Schwert's (Journal of Finance, 54 (5), 1115-1153, 1989) on US stock market volatility is extended to an international setting. In line with the evidence reported in...

This paper studies the effects of Federal Reserve communications on US financial market returns from 1998 to 2009 and asks whether they changed significantly during the global financial crisis of August 2007–July 2009. We find, first, that central bank communication moves financial markets in...

Since the publication of Taylor's (2002) results supporting Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory using a century of data, several authors have tried to verify PPP using the same data set. While one study has rejected Taylor''s strong conclusion, others have supported it. In this paper we use yet...

Devaluation or depreciation of a currency worsens the trade balance before improving it, resulting in a J-curve pattern. A new definition of the hypothesis implies a short-run deterioration combined with the long-run improvement. By using monthly data over the January 1990-June 2005 period from...

The cross-correlation function between terms of trade and trade balance has been found to resemble a pattern that is labelled the S-curve. Support for this pattern has been provided for developed and less developed countries by previous research. This paper investigates the S-curve for 10...

Since the publication of Taylor's (2002) results supporting Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory using a century of data, several authors have tried to verify PPP using the same data set. While one study has rejected Taylor''s strong conclusion, others have supported it. In this paper we use yet...