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This paper analyzes the impact of news, oil prices, and international financial market developments on daily returns on Russian bond and stock markets. First, there is some persistence in both bond and stock market returns. Second, we find that U.S. stock market returns Granger-cause Russian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301265
This paper investigates the issue of real and nominal economic convergence of transition economies in two distinct ways: i) within their own groups as in Koèenda (2001) and ii) to the European Union (EU). We extend Koèenda’s study not only by using a more stable period (post-93) but also by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301266
Kazakhstan possesses extensive natural resources reserves that are expected to yield significant export revenues. Since Kazakhstan’s attaining independence in 1991, the composition of exports has changed in favor of energy-related sectors. In the context of such evidence and considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301290
We compare the convergence with German monetary policy of the Balkan and Mediterranean country candidates for EU membership with that of countries that have recently joined the EU. Significant linkages exist between German base money stock and that of recent members of the EU; the same holds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301291
This study illustrates that the empirical rejection of the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis is not sensitive to whether the forward U.S. dollar is quoted at a premium or a discount. It is argued that the reported finding of so-called asymmetry in forward exchange rate bias in earlier work is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301306
This paper examines the ending of moderate rates of inflation in three transition economies, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland at the end of 1998. We argue that the institutions for the conduct of monetary policy in these countries were relatively weak and that monetary policy was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301316
In this paper we estimate the effects of transition and political instability in the Eastern European and Balkan transition countries on their FDI inflows. For transition countries unaffected by political instability, FDI inflows in the 1990s were around 20 to 30% of those achieved by European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301317
This paper expands on the work of Sarno and Taylor (1999) and develops three alternative models in which creditor moral hazard might occur in equity markets under different assumptions regarding the existence of asset market bubbles and implicit guarantees. Incorporating IMF-related news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476784
This paper analyzes the impact of news, oil prices, and international financial market developments on daily returns on Russian bond and stock markets. First, regarding returns, energy news affects returns, while news from the war in Chechnya is not significant. Market volatility does not appear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476860