Probability kinematics (Jeffrey, 1965, 1983) furnishes a method for revising a prior probability specification based upon new probabilities over a partition. We develop a corresponding Bayes linear kinematic for a Bayes linear analysis given information which changes our beliefs about a random...

Selected Conference Proceedings

Bayes linear methodology provides a quantitative structure for expressing our beliefs and systematic methods for revising these beliefs given observational data. Particular emphasis is placed upon interpretation of and diagnostics for the specification. The approach is similar in spirit to the...