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We find a robust negative effect of exchange rate volatility on S&P500 company returns. The Consumer Discretionary and the Consumer Staple sectors have more significant negative exposure to exchange rate volatility than the other sectors thus supporting the hypothesis that exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049029
Stochastic models with economy-wide shocks imply that the welfare costs of aggregate volatility are negligible. In reality, idiosyncratic shocks are important, and empirical evidence suggests that their volatility is several times that of aggregate shocks. This paper introduces both types of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067448
This paper considers models of intratemporal consumption-labor choice and intertemporal consumption choice under heterogeneity and private information in preferences towards labor. We show that market regime regarding unemployment insurance is important to determine the effects of heterogeneity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067449
Using a large panel of U.S. brokerage accounts trades and positions, we show that a large fraction of retail investors trade as contrarians after large earnings surprises, especially for loser stocks, and that such contrarian trading contributes to post earnings announcement drift (PEAD) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480632
We estimate that passive investors held 37.8% of the US stock market in 2020. This value comes from studying the closing volumes of index additions and deletions on reconstitution day. 37.8% is more than double the widely accepted previous estimate of 15%, which reflects index-fund holdings but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491975
The abnormal return associated with a stock being added to the S&P 500 has fallen from an average of 3.4% in the 1980s and 7.6% in the 1990s to 0.8% over the past decade. This has occurred despite a significant increase in the percentage of stock market assets linked to the index. A similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235691
Retail investors trade hard-to-value stocks. Controlling for size, stocks with a high share of retail-initiated trades are composed of more intangible capital, have longer duration cash-flows and a higher likelihood of being mispriced. Consistent with retail-heavy stocks being harder to value,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237371
Using a large panel of U.S. brokerage accounts trades and positions, we show that a large fraction of retail investors trade as contrarians after large earnings surprises, especially for loser stocks, and that such contrarian trading contributes to post earnings announcement drift (PEAD) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014369372
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014387950
We examine next-day newspaper accounts of large daily jumps in 16 national stock markets to assess their proximate cause, clarity as to cause, and the geographic source of the market-moving news. Our sample of 6,200 market jumps yields several findings. First, policy news – mainly associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233977