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We estimate the average fiscal multiplier, allowing multipliers to be heterogeneous across countries or over time and … conventional multiplier estimates. We rely on both crosssectional and time-series variation in spending shocks, exploiting the … differential effects of oil price shocks on fuel subsidies, to identify the average government spending multiplier. Our estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950437
modestly negative long-run multipliers around -0.42. The multiplier is sensitive to the fraction of transfers given to credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114666
-run multipliers around 0.52 and modestly negative long-run multipliers around -0.42. The multiplier is sensitive to the fraction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123780
modestly negative long-run multipliers around -0.42. The multiplier is sensitive to the fraction of transfers given to credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123984
This paper examines issues related to the estimation of the government spending multiplier (GSM) in a Dynamic … to cross-equation restrictions, omitting the endogenous component of government policy at the estimation stage would lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106526
that standard identification schemes imply different priors on elasticities, generating a large dispersion in multiplier … inference on multipliers. Our results for the U.S. for the period 1947-2006 suggest that the probability of the tax multiplier … being larger than the spending multiplier is below 0.5 at all horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106827
First Draft: January 2, 2010This Draft: November 13, 2013We quantify the fiscal multipliers in response to the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009. We extend the benchmark Smets-Wouters (2007) New Keynesian model, allowing for credit-constrained households, the zero lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062095
autoregressions, we document a significant crowding-in of private investment and an output multiplier of roughly 2. Then, we match a … New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to the empirical responses, and we decompose the multiplier … capacity in the medium run, and it generates demand effects along the production network. We find a similar multiplier in other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015207271
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015105968
multipliers as can be seen from empirical estimation of the multiplier values for US and UK data during the period 1972-2018 … modern SVAR based estimation. Here, in the first place, we amend the algebraic definition of the fiscal multipliers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248588