The article contributes to the literature on financial fragility, studying how macro-economic shocks affect supply and demand in the corporate debt market. We take into account the effect of the competitive environment, as well as the risk level, measured by companies' default rate. The model is...

We propose a new method for analysing multi-period stress scenarios for portfolio credit risk more systematically than in the current practice of macro stress testing. Our method quantifies the plausibility of scenarios by considering the distance of the stress scenario from an average scenario....

To date, regulatory stress testing in the United States has focused on ensuring the banking system is resilient to losses in one or a few stress scenarios that involve macro-economic weakness, but it is unclear how far this resilience extends beyond the stresses considered. In addition, a theory...

Most banks employ historical simulation for Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculations, where VaR is computed from a lower quantile of a forecast distribution for the portfolio's profit and loss (P\&L) that is constructed from a single, multivariate historical sample on the portfolio's risk factors. The...

Stress testing has become an important topic in banking practice since the development of the risk management and the enforcement of international supervisory requirements. While, in the context of credit risk, the regulatory perspective is mainly focused on stressing risk parameters, we propose...

This paper examines the capital market consequences of government stress testing of banks in the European Union during the recent global financial crisis. Theory suggests that the announcement of forthcoming public disclosure and the eventual disclosure can induce changes in the information...

How much capital and liquidity does a bank need – to support its risk taking activities? During the recent (and still ongoing) financial crisis, answers to this question using standard approaches, e.g. regulatory capital ratios, were no longer credible, and thus broad-based supervisory stress...

Stress testing in Banks is crucial for risk mitigation both from regulatory and managerial standpoint. The U.S. sub-prime crisis of 2008 triggered economic recession across the globe and various agencies like financial institutions, regulators, credit agencies, government policies, and...