The article addresses the issue of stress testing based on the probability of bankruptcy and a rating migration matrix. The analysis is conducted on a sample of listed companies in Poland in the years 1998-2016, and the forecasts are made for the years 2016-2018. Particular attention is paid to...

The U.S. financial system is very large, well-diversified, and home to numerous financial institutions which are significant at a global scale. Eight Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIBs) are incorporated in the U.S., as well as several other large financial institutions, such as asset...

Much of the work of the FSAP was conducted prior to the COVID-19 outbreak. The risk and vulnerability analysis integrates the original work with a quantification of the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on bank solvency under two separate scenarios. The original 'market shock' scenario explores...

This paper analyzes a group of 755 firms, with aggregate indebtedness of US$6.2 trillion, to assess the solvency risks and liquidity needs facing the U.S. corporate sector based on projections of net income, availability and cost of funding, and debt servicing flows under different stress test...

This Technical Note on Stress Testing and Systemic Risk Analysis for the Republic of Poland discusses that Poland's financial system is dominated by the banking sector, with significant state participation and foreign ownership. The banking system shows resiliency to adverse shocks in the...

This paper presents a framework for estimating losses in the residential real estate mortgage portfolios of German banks. We develop an EL model where LGD estimates are based on current collateral values and PD dynamics are estimated using a structural PVAR approach. We confirm empirically that...