Deschamps, Bruno; Ioannidis, Christos - In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 92 (2013) C, pp. 141-151
This paper examines whether the rational jumpiness/stubbornness hypothesis can explain forecast biases. Using a dataset of professional GDP forecasts for the G7 countries over the period 1989–2010, we find evidence supporting the rational stubbornness hypothesis. Specifically, forecasters...