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We estimate a monetary policy rule for the US allowing for possible frequency dependence - i.e., allowing the central bank to respond differently to more persistent innovations than to more transitory innovations, in both the unemployment rate and the inflation rate. Our estimation method uses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198568
The continued increase in availability of economic data in recent years and, more importantly, the possibility to construct larger frequency time series, have fostered the use (and development) of statistical and econometric techniques to treat them more accurately. This paper presents an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014201876
Controlling and managing potential losses is one of the main objective of the Risk Management. Following Ben Ameur and Prigent (2007) and Chen et al. (2008), and extending the first results by Hamidi et al. (2009) when adopting a risk management approach for defining insurance portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014213499
The functioning of electricity markets has experienced increasing complexity as a result of deregulation in recent years. Consequently this affects the multilateral price behaviour across regions with physical exchange of power. It has been documented elsewhere that features such as long memory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217217
analysis provides a general limit theory for semiparametric reduced rank regression under weakly dependent errors. The method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217971
A commonly used defining property of long memory time series is the power law decay of the autocovariance function. Some alternative methods of deriving this property are considered working from the alternate definition in terms of a fractional pole in the spectrum at the origin. The methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217976
A set of multivariate GARCH models is estimated and its empirical validity is compared from the calculation of the Value at Risk. Data used are the daily returns of the nominal exchange rate of the Colombian peso vis-a-vis the American dollar, euro, sterling and Japanese yen for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220508
In this paper we characterise fiscal policy in terms of non-linear processes. We find that government spending and taxes can be described as being non-linear trend stationary processes instead of unit roots. A long run equilibrium relationship - a non-linear co-trend - does exist between the two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075912
This short report deals with the recent rise of programmatic time series methods. This decade has witnessed the proliferation of commercial and open source time-series tooling, which calls for an exposition of what is publicly available. In tandem with this survey, AtsPy, an open source...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014099339
Oil and Gas industry is one of the renowned industries where prediction and forecasting of necessary oil statistics is important from both the productive and economic perspective. Artificial lift methods are being used to increase the production rate. Even if the natural pressure is appropriate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014105962