By using administrative data fromNew Zealand, we assess the relative importance of job-finding, and job-to-job transition rates for wage dynamics. We exploit the regional variation and find that wages are closely linked to job-to-job transitions and less so to the job- finding rate. Further, the...

Uncertainty shocks have been shown to affect the real economy, but uncertainty remains about their trade effects and whether effects are similar across different types of uncertainty. We investigate how global economic, financial, and trade policy uncertainty affect the trade flows of the seven...

A large decline in the efficiency of the US labor market in matching unemployed workers and vacant jobs has been documented during the Great Recession. We use a simple New Keynesian model with search and matching frictions in the labor market to study the macroeconomic implications of matching...

To what extent did deviations from the Taylor rule between 2002 and 2006 help to promote price stability and maximum sustainable employment? To address that question, this paper estimates a New Keynesian model with unemployment and performs a counterfactual experiment where monetary policy...

Factor based forecasting has been at the forefront of developments in the macroeconometricforecasting literature in the recent past. Despite the flurry of activityin the area, a number of specification issues such as the choice of the number offactors in the forecasting regression, the benefits...

We propose a new non-recursive identification scheme for uncertainty shocks, which exploits breaks in the unconditional volatility of macroeconomic variables. Such identification approach allows us to simultaneously address two major questions in the empirical literature on uncertainty: (i) Does...

We propose a new non-recursive identification scheme for uncertainty shocks, which exploits breaks in the unconditional volatility of macroeconomic variables. Such identification approach allows us to simultaneously address two major questions in the empirical literature on uncertainty: (i) Does...