Polarization of opinions after public announcement is widely observed, but often considered to be inconsistent with Bayesian learning. I show that this is not the case in environments where higher-order expectations play a role. I characterize informational structures where public announcement...

We model trading and information diffusion in OTC markets, when dealers can engage in many bilateral transactions at the same time. We show that information diffusion is effective, but not efficient. While each bilateral price partially reveals all dealers' private information after a single...

We model trading and information diffusion in OTC markets, when dealers can engage in many bilateral transactions at the same time. We show that information diffusion is effective, but not efficient. While each bilateral price partially reveals all dealers' private information after a single...

Az utóbbi hónapokban számos írás jelent meg a Közgazdasági Szemle hasábjain, amelyek a magyarországi közgazdasági oktatás és kutatás különböző jellemzőit vették górcső alá. Írásunkkal ehhez a párbeszédhez szeretnénk hozzájárulni. Áttekintjük, hogy szerintünk...

A közgazdaságtanban általában a cégekre olyan szereplőkként gondolunk, amelyek csak anonim piaci mechanizmuson keresztül érintkeznek egymással. Ezzel szemben a valóságban a cégek életében fontos szerepet játszanak a gazdaság más, konkrét szereplőivel meglévő kapcsolataik....

We develop a dynamic model of trading and investment with limited aggregate resources to study investment cycles. Unverifiable idiosyncratic investment opportunities imply market prices to play a role of rent distribution, distorting private investment incentives from a social point of view....

This paper studies the adverse price effects of convergence trading. I assume two assets with identical cash flows traded in segmented markets. Initially, there is gap between the prices of the assets, because local traders’ face asymmetric temporary shocks. In the absence of arbitrageurs, the...

We propose a model where investors hire fund managers to invest either in risky bonds or in riskless assets. Some managers have superior information on the default probability. Looking at the past performance, investors update beliefs on their managers and make firing decisions. This leads to...