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is presented that helps explain why this is the case for traditional currency crises, but less so for asset bubbles. The …1. Overview: A Framework for Investing During Currency Crises and Asset Bubbles -- 2. Bretton Woods’ Collapse Alters … European Monetary Union -- 7. Japan’s Bubble Culminates in Two Decades of Deflation -- 8. Asia’s Real Estate Boom Spawns Global …
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We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
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bubbles and similar price dynamics in all treatments (with moderately lower prices in the treatments with a long horizon) …
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We propose a novel class of models in which the crash hazard rate is determined by a function of a non-local estimation of mispricing. Rooted in behavioral finance, the non-local estimation embodies in particular the characteristic of "anchoring" on past price levels and the "probability...
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