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This paper merges two branches of the literature. On one hand we study a heterogeneous agents framework to model exchange rates and stock prices. On the other hand we model the relationship between these two series through a DSGE model. Investors choose one of two rules to form their...
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We show that updates to macroeconomic expectations among professional forecasters exhibit an offsetting pattern where increases in current-quarter predictions lead to decreases in three quarter ahead predictions. We further document evidence of individual overreaction at the quarterly frequency...
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This study shows that uncertainty about information does not strengthen momentum. If the behavioral models hold, and if uncertainty about information causes high-volatility momentum strategies to outperform low-volatility strategies, then this relation must hold on a relative level. Momentum...
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problem by undertaking risky arbitrage early in the investment process, in return for higher profits, if successful. The …
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