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Option market activity increases by more than 10 percent in the four days before quarterly earnings announcements. We show that the direction of this pre-announcement trading foreshadows subsequent earnings news. Specifically, we find option traders initiate a greater proportion of long (short)...
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Does investors' inattention contribute to the post-earnings announcement drift? I study this question using media coverage as a proxy for attention. I compare announcements made by the same firm in the same year and generating the same earnings surprise, when one announcement is covered in the...
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Psychological research suggests that individuals are satisficiers. That is, when confronted with a large number of options, individuals often choose the first acceptable option, rather than the best possible option (Simon 1957). Given the vast quantity of information available and the widespread...
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We model the strategic interaction between fundamental investors and "back-runners,'' whose only information is about the past order flow of fundamental investors. Back-runners partly infer fundamental investors' information from their order flow and exploit it in subsequent trading. Fundamental...
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