This study assess the effect of corruption on the occurrence of banking crisis for a sample of 38 countries over the period 2000 – 2017. We consider both the direct and the indirect channels through which corruption might affect the occurrence of banking crisis. We also check using a threshold...

Using Monte Carlo simulations, this paper evaluates the ability of the trend-cycle decomposition approach of Hamilton (2018) to adequately identify asymmetries in business cycles fluctuations. By considering different specifications of linear and asymmetric processes consistent with previous...

This paper develops an alternative approach to the widely used Difference-In-Difference (DID) method for evaluating the effects of policy changes. In contrast to the standard approach, we introduce a nonlinear model that permits changes over time in the effect of unobservables (e.g., there may...

The control of gyroscope system is a trivial problem where in the three degree of freedom is coupled to make the system nonlinear. This paper attempt to design of control algorithm without the usage Lyapunov exponent and also effective in handling the nonlinear terms associated in the dynamics...

I discuss nonlinear difference-in-differences models, arguing their interpretation depends on the context of their application. When parallel trends are assumed in the natural scale of the dependent variable, I contend the treatment effect is the interaction effect (a cross-difference), while if...

This paper estimates a model of the real exchange rate including standard fundamentals as well as two alternative measures of inflation expectations for five inflation targeting countries (UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden) over the period January 1993-July 2019. Both a benchmark linear...

We review key aspects of forecasting using nonlinear models. Because economic models are typically misspecified, the resulting forecasts provide only an approximation to the best possible forecast. Although it is in principle possible to obtain superior approximations to the optimal forecast...

This paper surveys some of the recent developments in nonlinear analysis of economic time series. The emphasis lies on stochastic models. Various classes of nonlinear models appearing in the economics and time series literature are presented and discussed. Linearity testing and estimation of...

In this paper, we propose a fully Bayesian approach to the special class of nonlinear time-series models called the logistic smooth transition autoregressive (LSTAR) model. Initially, a Gibbs sampler is proposed for the LSTAR where the lag length, k, is kept fixed. Then, uncertainty about k is...

Uncertainty about an economy’s regime can change drastically around a crisis. An imported crisis such as the global financial crisis in the euro area highlights the effect of foreign shocks. Estimating an open-economy nonlinear dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the euro area and...