With the concept of trend inflation now widely understood as to be important as a measure of the public's perception of the inflation goal of the central bank and important to the accuracy of longer-term inflation forecasts, this paper uses Bayesian methods to assess alternative models of trend...

We propose a multivariate combination approach to prediction based on a distributional state space representation of the weights belonging to a set of Bayesian predictive densities which have been obtained from alternative models. Several specifications of multivariate time-varying weights are...

This paper introduces a new technical analysis method of stock market. I would like to call is as volume-weighted moving average and use VWMA as the abbreviation.By using VWMA, time-variable and nonlinear phenomenon of stock market can be seen. Comparing with the simple moving average, VWMA can...

Since Kydland and Prescott (1977) and Barro and Gordon (1983), most studies of the problem of the inflation bias associated with discretionary monetary policy have assumed a quadratic loss function. We depart from the conventional linear-quadratic approach to the problem in favor of a projection...

This paper examines the impacts of two attributes of accounting recognition, i.e., nonlinearity and multi-period lags, on Basu (1997) measure of asymmetric timeliness. First, we predict and find that asymmetric timeliness is affected by nonlinear earnings responses and more pronounced when news...