This paper estimates Japan’s output gap using the recently developed ℓ <Subscript>1</Subscript> trend filter, which is an alternative to the popular Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filter. This new filter provides a piecewise linear trend line, which means it possibly provides better output gap estimates than the HP...</subscript>

This paper applies the multi-scale beta estimation approach based on wavelet analysis proposed in Gencay et al. (2002) to Japanese industrial stock prices. Betas are calculated based on the wavelet rough and smooth from the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and it is argued that the conventional...

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has developed a system of Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs) for its member countries. On the other hand, the Japanese government has released another CLI for detecting the Japanese business cycle turning points. Both CLIs are...

This paper evaluates the performances of Japanese leading indicators in predicting business cycle turning points. We extract the business cycle component in leading indicators using the frequency selective filter proposed by Baxter and King (1999), and we try to clarify empirically whether or...

This note empirically reexamines the Fisher relation with Japanese monthly data for the last three decades. Following Bierens (2000) it is examined by assuming that the nominal interest rate and inflation contain a nonlinear deterministic trend rather than a stochastic trend.

The paper examines the validity of export promotion strategies using a structural vector autoregressive model. Empirical results based on Korean monthly data indicate that: (i) export specific shocks have permanent effects on output; and (ii) the effects are not small. These results provide some...

This article examines the linkage of real interest rates of the three major world financial markets (USA, Japan and the UK) with the use of cointegration methods. Unlike previous works, the investigation uses a trivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) model in which a constant term in the common...

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) began to use a band-pass filter, based on the Hodrick-Prescott filter (HPband-pass filter), to calculate the composite leading indicators (CLIs) in December2008. Other than the filter adopted by the OECD, there is an alternative...