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This article examines the behaviour of some recently proposed 'robust' (to the order of integration of the data) tests for the presence of a deterministic linear trend in a univariate times series in situations where the magnitude of the initial condition of the series is non-negligible. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671031
In this paper we investigate the role of deterministic components and initial values in bootstrap likelihood ratio type tests of cointegration rank. A number of bootstrap procedures have been proposed in the recent literature some of which include estimated deterministic components and nonzero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010680231
In this paper we investigate bootstrap-based methods for bias-correcting the first-stage parameter estimates used in some recently developed bootstrap implementations of the co-integration rank tests of Johansen (1996). In order to do so we adapt the framework of Kilian (1998) which estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010628209
Recent approaches to testing for a unit root when uncertainty exists over the presence and timing of a trend break employ break detection methods, so that a with-break unit root test is used only if a break is detected by some auxiliary statistic. While these methods achieve near asymptotic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010704584
Testing for the presence of a broken linear trend when the nature of the persistence in the data is unknown is not a trivial problem, since the test needs to be both asymptotically correctly sized and consistent, regardless of the order of integration of the data. In a recent paper, Sayginsoy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010704585
The contribution of this paper is twofold. First we extend the large sample results provided for the augmented Dickey-Fuller test by Said and Dickey (1984) and Chang and Park (2002) to the case of the augmented seasonal unit root tests of Hylleberg et al. (1990) [HEGY], inter alia. Our analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010704586
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001370503
This paper considers the problem of testing against stochastic trend and seasonality in the presence of structural breaks and unit roots at frequencies other than those directly under test, which we term unattended breaks and unattended unit roots respectively. We show that under unattended...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113521
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010088588