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The risk premium of stocks due to priced variance risk is summarized to two variables -- the stock-specific price of variance risk (the difference between realized and option-implied variance) and the quantity (i.e., how stock prices respond to their variance shocks) of variance risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855216
We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is …-series momentum, which strengthens in bad times, increases with disagreement, and crashes after sharp market rebounds. We provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618
monthly returns but lower risk than their arbitrage pricing theory counterparts in an analysis of equity returns of stocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034895
reviews the theory and literature on market efficiency and market anomalies. We give a brief review on market efficiency and …. This review is useful to academics for developing cutting-edge treatments of financial theory that EMH, anomalies, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237439
Dynamic economic models make predictions about impulse responses that characterize how macroeconomic processes respond to alternative shocks over different horizons. From the perspective of asset pricing, impulse responses quantify the exposure of macroeconomic processes and other cash flows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024262
In this paper we consider two cases of pairs trading strategies: a conditional statistical arbitrage method and an implicit statistical arbitrage method. We use a simulation-based Bayesian procedure for predicting stable ratios, defined in a cointegration model, of pairs of stock prices. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259626
We investigate the direct connection between the uncertainty related to estimated stable ratios of stock prices and risk and return of two pairs trading strategies: a conditional statistical arbitrage method and an implicit arbitrage one. A simulation-based Bayesian procedure is introduced for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505854
optimistic periods, it delivers insignificant overall predictability. This is because in the aftermath of the 2008 financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905055
This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025
It is well known that high-frequency asset returns are fat-tailed relative to the Gaussian distribution, and that the fat tails are typically reduced but not eliminated when returns are standardized by volatilities estimated from popular ARCH and stochastic volatility models. We consider two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004300