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This paper provides a comprehensive analysis on stock return predictability in Santiago Stock Exchange from January … regrouping the stocks as small and large, low and high book-to-market, beta, and momentum according to the median values adds …, however, momentum is efficiently predicted their return. Momentum is significant only for the large stocks and low book …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959108
provide recommendations for using machine learning methods in asset pricing. Additionally, I study return predictability over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251782
autocorrelation coefficients are estimated. The test results support the theory of short-term momentum and long-term trend reversal … investor behavior with short-term momentum and long-term trend reversal is given. Hereupon an empirical test using detrended … display short-term momentum and trend reversal in the long-run. For this purpose augmented Dickey-Fuller tests and partial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049331
This article introduces the rough path-dependent volatility (RPDV) model, a model structurally adapted to jointly capture two major empirical features of volatility: its rough behavior and its path-dependence.After presenting it in its general form and its link with other existing models in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236064
This paper discusses the role that stock market volatility plays in the linkages between the U.S. stock and Treasury bond markets through liquidity under different regimes of investor sentiment in a threshold vector autoregression model. The baseline analysis shows that the interaction between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294050
This presentation introduces the rough path-dependent volatility model (RPDVM). After defining the model and its different components, the presentation focuses on various specifications of the RPDVM that already exist in the literature. Finally, a Markovian approximation of the model is presented
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351201
In the past 20 years, momentum or trend following strategies have become an established part of the investor toolbox …. We introduce a new way of analyzing momentum strategies by looking at the information ratio (IR, average return divided … by standard deviation). We calculate the theoretical IR of a momentum strategy, and show that if momentum is mainly due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034189
This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999962
The paper re-examines whether investors can predict oil and gas stock prices for abnormal returns using autocorrelation-based trading and filter rules and moving average based strategies. Short and long lengths moving averages were employed and their performances measured against the returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914208
This paper investigates the determinants of six different lottery-like stock return definitions that have been analyzed separately in prior literature. While we focus on information uncertainty as captured by accounting information, mispricing, institutional ownership and default risk as main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918389