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the idiosyncratic variance measure and the market portfolio, leads to robust conclusions on the predictability exercise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146647
Recent studies find evidence in favour of return predictability, and argue that their positive findings result from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030200
This paper provides an analysis of the predictability of stock returns using market, industry, and firm-level earnings … of earnings yield. These results are robust after controlling for book-to-market, size, price momentum and post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116939
with stochastic volatility in market returns and predictor variables, we assess the economic value of return predictability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872248
Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249767
We document robust industry return predictability through the lens of a competition network, connecting two industries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348634
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